Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.000571 0.000659 0.000752 0.000858 0.000975 0.001101 0.001245
2025-06-08 0.000417 0.000533 0.000666 0.000829 0.001020 0.001238 0.001501
2025-06-15 0.000346 0.000474 0.000629 0.000827 0.001070 0.001356 0.001714
2025-06-22 0.000292 0.000427 0.000598 0.000825 0.001114 0.001464 0.001915
2025-06-29 0.000248 0.000385 0.000566 0.000815 0.001142 0.001549 0.002084
2025-07-06 0.000210 0.000346 0.000533 0.000799 0.001159 0.001616 0.002232
2025-07-13 0.000190 0.000330 0.000528 0.000819 0.001220 0.001741 0.002453
2025-07-20 0.000171 0.000313 0.000520 0.000831 0.001271 0.001852 0.002660
2025-07-27 0.000149 0.000288 0.000498 0.000822 0.001290 0.001921 0.002811
2025-08-03 0.000129 0.000262 0.000472 0.000806 0.001298 0.001973 0.002938
2025-08-10 0.000117 0.000250 0.000465 0.000815 0.001342 0.002074 0.003134
2025-08-17 0.000105 0.000236 0.000454 0.000818 0.001374 0.002159 0.003310
2025-08-24 0.000089 0.000212 0.000425 0.000791 0.001362 0.002183 0.003402
2025-08-31 0.000075 0.000190 0.000398 0.000765 0.001351 0.002206 0.003494
2025-09-07 0.000066 0.000178 0.000387 0.000763 0.001375 0.002279 0.003657
2025-09-14 0.000059 0.000167 0.000376 0.000762 0.001399 0.002354 0.003824
2025-09-21 0.000051 0.000155 0.000362 0.000752 0.001410 0.002408 0.003960
2025-09-28 0.000044 0.000142 0.000345 0.000737 0.001411 0.002447 0.004075
2025-10-05 0.000041 0.000139 0.000346 0.000755 0.001466 0.002568 0.004314
2025-10-12 0.000038 0.000134 0.000345 0.000767 0.001510 0.002675 0.004533
2025-10-19 0.000033 0.000125 0.000333 0.000759 0.001520 0.002728 0.004671
2025-10-26 0.000028 0.000115 0.000317 0.000743 0.001518 0.002761 0.004780
2025-11-02 0.000026 0.000110 0.000315 0.000752 0.001557 0.002860 0.004991